Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.833415 0.936907 1.049651 1.181819 1.332797 1.500208 1.700354
2025-02-02 0.681834 0.824096 0.992042 1.205924 1.472456 1.795452 2.219245
2025-02-09 0.592522 0.751183 0.948753 1.214802 1.566658 2.020158 2.655536
2025-02-16 0.527651 0.695117 0.912834 1.219684 1.645917 2.224267 3.080783
2025-02-23 0.483822 0.658859 0.895086 1.241575 1.744191 2.458182 3.569803
2025-03-02 0.432103 0.605056 0.845951 1.211482 1.761794 2.575140 3.897952
2025-03-09 0.404752 0.581972 0.836353 1.235136 1.857488 2.813540 4.436681
2025-03-16 0.371856 0.547205 0.805635 1.222598 1.894456 2.962880 4.848525
2025-03-23 0.349349 0.525573 0.791936 1.233772 1.968084 3.175864 5.390238
2025-03-30 0.323032 0.495610 0.762400 1.216061 1.991329 3.306027 5.801752
2025-04-06 0.301913 0.471938 0.740481 1.208113 2.029009 3.462917 6.278972
2025-04-13 0.274028 0.435168 0.694352 1.154925 1.982232 3.464637 6.462860
2025-04-20 0.261948 0.423734 0.689563 1.173343 2.066284 3.715508 7.170672
2025-04-27 0.251441 0.414123 0.687051 1.195519 2.159557 3.994473 7.976473
2025-05-04 0.239667 0.401350 0.677890 1.204444 2.228156 4.232592 8.730087
2025-05-11 0.228286 0.388356 0.667195 1.209270 2.288795 4.460878 9.494696
2025-05-18 0.220355 0.380839 0.665603 1.230953 2.384669 4.771540 10.490200
2025-05-25 0.205814 0.360353 0.638756 1.201146 2.372296 4.852051 10.961203
2025-06-01 0.199580 0.354645 0.638877 1.224575 2.473037 5.188354 12.098539
2025-06-08 0.189229 0.340541 0.622047 1.212157 2.495661 5.353066 12.834339
2025-06-15 0.182509 0.332834 0.616901 1.223225 2.570428 5.644866 13.942385
2025-06-22 0.172949 0.319048 0.598895 1.205682 2.579307 5.783016 14.664463
2025-06-29 0.165139 0.308181 0.585931 1.197810 2.609398 5.975363 15.566202